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Carpenter Real Estate News

Central Indiana Soon to be a Seller’s Market?

November 22nd, 2011

If you read the headlines or watch the evening news, some days you may think the world is coming to an end.  However, if you delve into the statistics you find some information that just might surprise you.  For calendar year 2006 Metropolitan Indianapolis Board of Realtors (MIBOR), which covers nearly all of central Indiana, reported 65,110 transactions completed, the highest number on record  (Note: one sale = two transactions).  Last year there were 46,460 transactions – down nearly 29% from the peak.  The first part of last year the market was artificially stimulated with the federal tax credit for home buyers.  In second half of last year without that stimulus the market ran at a pace of 42,500 transactions.  That may sound like bad news, but 2011 is on pace to be up 10% from that level and conditions continue to improve.  Was the second half of last year a bottom for the market?

Now for the interesting part…as of November 1st there were just over 15,250 residential listings for sale in the MIBOR system.  That’s down 28% from the same time in 2007 and 4% below the same time in 2004!  A healthy correction of supply and demand is nearly complete.  With the number of homes available for sale on the market shrinking and the tide of sales activity rising by 10%, you may be seeing a swing from a buyers’ to a sellers’ market.   Just don’t hold your breath to see it in the headlines yet…

Wondering what things are like in your specific neighborhood?  Contact a Carpenter agent and they can provide you with statistics and insight into the value of your home.

Posted by:  Ryan Carrell


 

Improving real estate conditions

June 21st, 2011

The Indianapolis Star ran a front page story this morning with the headline “An unwelcome surprise: May home sales slip 15%.” I was perplexed by this headline because the Carpenter management team has been discussing and analyzing market statistics as we always do.  Because of this, I knew that May 2011 was a much stronger month than the previous May.  So what’s the old saying…the devil’s in the details.  Well, the first several paragraphs of the article are apparently comparing CLOSED sales.  In that case, it is not surprising at all that May 2010, the month following the end of the tax incentive, is higher than May 2011.  It is not until you turn back to page six and nearly the last paragraph of the article that you get a better picture of how the month performed.  “The number of pending sales in May was up a robust 37.7 percent in the metro area and 32.6 percent statewide compared with the same month last year.”  Down 15% vs. up 37.7%.  Wow, what a different picture…sure closings are down because most transactions take 30-45 days from contract to close and April 2010 just before the tax expiration was one of the highest contract months in years.  However, pendings, buyers and sellers coming to together and entering into contracts, are up 37.7%.  Karl Berron, chief executive of the state Realtors group, is quoted thereafter, “Realtors from around the state are reporting high interest and activity.  We are past the worst and looking to grow.”

The bottom line – headlines are fine, details are better.  Real estate transactions are being done and a recovery is in process.  It still remains the best time in decades to purchase a home.  Don’t take my word for it…search nearly all central Indiana listings on our website and see for yourself.

Posted by:  Ryan Carrell


 

 

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Indianapolis, IN
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